Iraq Invasion of 2003 and Civil War

AD – MPE: 0.12

ND – MPE: 0.24

The Wikipedia-article called “Casualties of the Iraq War” cites estimates for the number of war victims, which range from 0.18 to 1.2 million. The highest numbers have been subject to severe criticism by experts. But most numbers don’t cover the whole time period. 0.15 million civilians is a conservative number. Most civilians were killed by insurgents.

Western support for Iraqi security services with money, training, weapons and diplomacy was highly significant. I blame advanced democracies for 10 to 20 percent of victims killed by Iraqi security forces.

Plausible estimates for the number of civilians killed by advanced democracies range from 0.05 to 0.2 million. I choose 0.12 million as the most plausible estimate. Plausible estimates for the number of civilians killed by nondemocratic forces range from 0.1 to 0.5 million. I choose 0.24 million as the most plausible estimate.